Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.167116 0.190698 0.216961 0.248474 0.285385 0.327400 0.379059
2025-12-21 0.129333 0.160331 0.198331 0.248766 0.314582 0.398427 0.514727
2025-12-28 0.109395 0.144018 0.189565 0.254783 0.347284 0.476096 0.673200
2026-01-04 0.095154 0.131310 0.181597 0.258140 0.374381 0.548783 0.839113
2026-01-11 0.084729 0.121620 0.175398 0.261647 0.400646 0.623425 1.023646
2026-01-18 0.077405 0.115047 0.172263 0.268460 0.432156 0.711126 1.249853
2026-01-25 0.070225 0.107550 0.166374 0.269445 0.453506 0.784989 1.468944
2026-02-01 0.064026 0.100713 0.160443 0.269099 0.471912 0.856412 1.701024
2026-02-08 0.058361 0.094018 0.153785 0.266255 0.484851 0.919433 1.931926
2026-02-15 0.053412 0.087934 0.147360 0.262743 0.495611 0.979766 2.173096
2026-02-22 0.050542 0.085095 0.146236 0.268891 0.526472 1.088204 2.559815
2026-03-01 0.046622 0.079968 0.140347 0.264842 0.535247 1.149588 2.846732
2026-03-08 0.043725 0.076474 0.137225 0.266184 0.556558 1.246099 3.265051
2026-03-15 0.040938 0.072920 0.133611 0.266048 0.574700 1.339650 3.710874
2026-03-22 0.039146 0.071067 0.133104 0.272468 0.609380 1.483633 4.367828
2026-03-29 0.037229 0.068778 0.131448 0.276080 0.637908 1.618501 5.052906
2026-04-05 0.035502 0.066692 0.129970 0.279867 0.667618 1.764502 5.843565
2026-04-12 0.034230 0.065402 0.130017 0.287230 0.708218 1.953713 6.889906
2026-04-19 0.032538 0.063089 0.127606 0.288295 0.731896 2.097685 7.831200
2026-04-26 0.030878 0.060696 0.124774 0.287921 0.751515 2.234450 8.817848
2026-05-03 0.029160 0.058034 0.121075 0.284847 0.762750 2.346645 9.758310
2026-05-10 0.027533 0.055440 0.117287 0.281050 0.771205 2.452101 10.731940
2026-05-17 0.026716 0.054559 0.117396 0.287697 0.813554 2.694859 12.580374